UA 1170 · LAX → HNL

departs 5:05 PM PT · arrives 7:44 PM HT

Your aircraft is N776UA (B772), coming in as UA 1363 from ORD: landed 3:14 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 5pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1170 · LAX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?