UA 1230 · DEN → GTF

took off 9:38 PM MT · expected to land 10:58 PM MT (scheduled 7:27 PM MT → 9:30 PM MT)

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at GTF more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GTF?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
100%
Over 2 hours late
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at GTF that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ GTF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GTF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1230 · DEN → GTF

Odds over time

How late will it get to GTF?