tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1265 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 1265 · SEA → ORD

departs 5:04 PM PT · arrives 11:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.