UA 1285 · CMH → ORD

departs 6:57 AM ET · arrives 7:24 AM CT

Your aircraft is N68807 (B739), coming in as UA 1492 from ORD: landed 7:56 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ 6am departures from CMH are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1285 · CMH → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?