UA 1334 · SFO → YYZ

departs 11:29 PM PT · arrives 7:18 AM EDT

Your aircraft is N47281 (B38M), coming in as UA 1970 from CLE: landed 9:07 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1334 · SFO → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?