UA 1363 · LAX → SFO

left the gate 4:35 PM PT · taxiing (scheduled 4:29 PM PT → 6:00 PM PT)

Your aircraft is N17467 (B39M), coming in as UA 2610 from SFO: landed 3:12 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1363 · LAX → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?