UA 137 · GUM → NGO

departs 7:36 AM ChST · arrives 10:19 AM JST

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at NGO more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to NGO?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at GUM that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from GUM are usually not late

Weather at each end

GUM (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.09 in

NGO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 137 · GUM → NGO

Odds over time

How late will it get to NGO?