UA 1434 · SFO → EUG

left the gate 4:46 PM PT · taxiing (scheduled 4:33 PM PT → 6:14 PM PT)

Your aircraft is N472UA (A320), coming in as UA 2416 from SEA: landed 3:25 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EUG?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ EUG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1434 · SFO → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?