Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1440 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Today

UA 1440 · SYR → ORD

departs 5:48 PM ET · arrives 7:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±4 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ SYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

SYR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1440 · SYR → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?