tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 146 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 146 · EWR → LHR

departs 9:57 PM ET · arrives 8:35 AM GMT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LHR?

  1. On time or early
    60%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.