tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1478 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1478 · YEG → IAH

departs 8:12 AM MDT · arrives 1:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
60% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.4d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    39%
  2. 15–30 min late
    26%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    9%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.