UA 155 · GUM → TKK

departs 8:00 AM ChST · arrives 9:41 AM +10

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at TKK more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TKK?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at GUM that day

↓ 8am departures from GUM are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

GUM (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

TKK (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 155 · GUM → TKK

Odds over time

How late will it get to TKK?