UA 1565 · DEN → DFW

departs 5:45 PM MT · arrives 8:48 PM CT

Your aircraft is N12221 (B738), coming in as UA 1790 from SBA: landed 4:26 PM MT.

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts −29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1565 · DEN → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?