Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1650 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Today

UA 1650 · SJC → ORD

departs 2:06 PM PT · arrives 8:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from SJC are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1650 · SJC → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?