UA 1700 · LAX → EWR

departs 4:10 PM PT · arrives 12:44 AM ET

Your aircraft is N17133 (B752), coming in as UA 1718 from EWR: landed 3:02 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

62% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1700 · LAX → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?