Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1864SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1864 · EWR → LAS
departs 11:53 AM ET · arrives 2:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.