Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1915 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

UA 1915 · DEN → DTW

departs 9:35 AM MT · arrives 2:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1915 · DEN → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?