tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1931 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1931 · SJD → SFO

departs 1:30 PM MST · arrives 4:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.