Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1959 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

UA 1959 · ANC → DEN

departs 12:03 AM AKT · arrives 7:29 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at ANC that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 12am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

DEN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1959 · ANC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?