UA 1967 · ORD → LAX

departs 6:10 PM CT · arrives 8:40 PM PT

Your aircraft is N57857 (B753), coming in as UA 2827 from SFO: landed 3:47 PM CT.

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1967 · ORD → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?