UA 1983 · ORD → SNA

departs 4:16 PM CT · arrives 6:45 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1983 · ORD → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?