UA 2156 · LAS → IAH

departs 4:58 PM PT · arrives 10:01 PM CT

Your aircraft is N67350 (B38M), coming in as UA 1971 from IAH: landed 4:43 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

82% chance · ±0 pts +46 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
64%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2156 · LAS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?