Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2271 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

UA 2271 · TVC → ORD

departs 5:57 AM ET · arrives 6:20 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from TVC are usually not late

Weather at each end

TVC (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2271 · TVC → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?