UA 2613 · DEN → EWR

departs 6:12 PM MT · arrives 11:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2613 · DEN → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?