Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2736 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

UA 2736 · GPI → DEN

departs 7:04 AM -05 · arrives 8:17 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at GPI that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

GPI (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2736 · GPI → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?