UA 280 · DEN → ANC

took off 7:18 PM MT · expected to land 10:20 PM AKT (scheduled 7:12 PM MT → 11:22 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ANC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 35 kt forecast at ANC that day

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 280 · DEN → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?