Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 286SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 286 · ICN → EWR
departs 5:12 PM KST · arrives 5:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
31%chance · ±5 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.