UA 345 · LAS → SFO

left the gate 6:16 PM PT · taxiing (scheduled 6:09 PM PT → 7:53 PM PT)

Your aircraft is N17465 (B39M), coming in as UA 2387 from EWR: landed 4:35 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

95% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from LAS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 345 · LAS → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?