Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3912 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Today

UA 3912 · SEA → LAX

departs 4:33 PM PT · arrives 7:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.15 in

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3912 · SEA → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?