Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 451 IN THE AIR (OFF 9:19 PM PT, ETA 10:49 PM MT)
Today

UA 451 · SFO → PHX

took off 9:19 PM PT · expected to land 10:49 PM MT (scheduled 8:52 PM PT → 11:01 PM MT)
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
2% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 24h 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    98%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.