tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 464 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 464 · EWR → RDU

departs 3:36 PM ET · arrives 5:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.