UA 512 · FLL → EWR

departs 6:50 PM ET · arrives 9:47 PM ET

Your aircraft is N47533 (B39M), coming in as UA 1338 from EWR: landed 5:08 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 512 · FLL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?