Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 517SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 517 · SFO → EWR
departs 5:55 AM PT · arrives 2:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.