UA 531 · PSP → DEN

departs 4:25 PM PT · arrives 7:51 PM MT

Your aircraft is N896UA (A319), coming in as UA 1228 from SFO: landed 3:26 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

PSP (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 531 · PSP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?