tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8163 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 8163 · SFO → DFW

departs 4:40 PM PT · arrives 10:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±4 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    49%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.