Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8166 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 8166 · SFO → ORD

departs 10:32 PM PT · arrives 4:43 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7.1d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.