Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8270 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 8270 · SFO → SEA

departs 9:02 PM PT · arrives 11:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
47% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.