Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 869SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 869 · SFO → HKG
departs 1:39 PM PT · arrives 7:06 PM HKT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HKG more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HKG?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.