UA 923 · LAX → LHR

departs 8:10 PM PT · arrives 2:03 PM GMT

Your aircraft is N24988 (B789), coming in as UA 33 from NRT: landed 11:46 AM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LHR?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Arrivals into LHR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LHR (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 923 · LAX → LHR

Odds over time

How late will it get to LHR?