tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 927 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

UA 927 · FRA → SFO

departs 5:38 PM CET · arrives 9:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 94h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.