Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
VIVA AEROBUS · FLIGHT VB 623
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
VB 623 · LAX → MTY
departs 2:55 PM PT · arrives 7:04 PM CST
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MTY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MTY?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
MTY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
MTY (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.