Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
VIVA AEROBUS · FLIGHT VB 678
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
VB 678 · MTY → SAT
departs 5:25 PM CST · arrives 7:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28 20%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 17%
Sun 11/1 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late
↓
VB's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MTY (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.