Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
VIVA AEROBUS · FLIGHT VB 682
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
VB 682 · MTY → DFW
departs 11:36 AM CST · arrives 2:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 10/28 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 21%
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
11am departures from MTY are usually not late
Weather at each end
MTY (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.