WN 1011 · MDW → BDL

departs 12:46 PM CT · arrives 3:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ MDW usually runs smoothly

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1011 · MDW → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?