Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1376 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 10:25 PM ET (3 H 55 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Thursday, October 29 Yesterday

WN 1376 · SRQ → MCO

departs 6:16 PM ET · arrives 7:13 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8824Q (B38M).

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SRQ that day

Weather at each end

SRQ (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1376 · SRQ → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?