WN 188 · AUS → AMA

departs 11:49 AM CT · arrives 1:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ AMA usually runs smoothly

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

AMA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 188 · AUS → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?