WN 1943 · SAN → LAS

departs 4:21 PM PT · arrives 5:45 PM PT

Your aircraft is N1805U (B38M), coming in as WN 1771 from DEN: landed 3:37 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,571 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1943 · SAN → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?