WN 202 · AUS → ATL

took off 7:08 PM CT · landed 9:43 PM ET (scheduled 5:52 PM CT → 9:07 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

ATL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 202 · AUS → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?