WN 2093 · BNA → AUS

departs 12:52 PM CT · arrives 3:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2093 · BNA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?