WN 2189 · LAS → SJC

took off 2:50 PM PT · landed 3:52 PM PT (scheduled 2:09 PM PT → 3:49 PM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,571 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2189 · LAS → SJC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJC?